What will S&P 500 (SPX) hit by end of December?

Prediction market tracked on Prediction Pantheon in the Financials category with $365K traded.

Expected settlement: 2026-12-31.

Buy prices at last build

  • ↑ $8,000: Polymarket 48¢

Prices are buy prices on each platform when this page was built; open the page in a browser for live prices.

Settlement rules

Polymarket: This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered. Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered. All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Fi…

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