Lowest Great Salt Lake elevation in 2026?

Prediction market tracked on Prediction Pantheon in the Climate category with $45K traded.

Expected settlement: 2027-01-02.

Buy prices at last build

  • 4,189.3 or 4,189.4 ft: Polymarket 85¢

Prices are buy prices on each platform when this page was built; open the page in a browser for live prices.

Settlement rules

Polymarket: This market will resolve according to the lowest daily mean lake elevation, in feet above the National Geodetic Vertical Datum of 1929, recorded at the Great Salt Lake at Saltair Boat Harbor, UT gage (USGS site 10010000) between January 1 and December 31, 2026, as published by the United States Geological Survey (USGS) for parameter code 62614. Exactly one outcome in this market will resolve to "Yes". The lowest daily reading in the year decides this market, including readings already recorded earlier in 2026; the level does not need to be sustained. If USGS does not publish a reading for one or more days, this market will resolve according to the lowest reading among the days that are publ…

Trade this market

All prediction markets · More science markets