What will the biggest earthquake be on Oct 23, 2026?

Prediction market tracked on Prediction Pantheon in the Climate category with $4K traded.

Expected settlement: 2026-10-23.

Buy prices at last build

  • Magnitude of at least 5.8: Kalshi 48¢

Prices are buy prices on each platform when this page was built; open the page in a browser for live prices.

Settlement rules

Kalshi: If the highest USGS-reported earthquake magnitude worldwide during Oct 23, 2026 from 12:00:00 AM through 11:59:59 PM UTC is 5.8 or higher, then the market resolves to Yes.

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