Will 2026 be the hottest year ever?
Prediction market tracked on Prediction Pantheon in the Climate category with $430K traded.
Expected settlement: 2027-01-01.
Buy prices at last build
- Kalshi 75¢
Prices are buy prices on each platform when this page was built; open the page in a browser for live prices.
Settlement rules
Kalshi: If the unsmoothed Land-Ocean Temperature Index value for 2026 reported by NASA’s Goddard Institute for Space Studies (GISS) is above the 2025 value and 1.28 degrees Celsius, then the market resolves to Yes.