How many 6.5 or above earthquakes worldwide October 19 - October 25?
Prediction market tracked on Prediction Pantheon in the Climate category with $7K traded.
Expected settlement: 2026-10-26.
Buy prices at last build
- 1: Polymarket 69¢
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Settlement rules
Polymarket: This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 6.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between October 19, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and October 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 6.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/). If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until 48 hours after the market's closing time, or until t…