US Tornadoes in October 2026
Prediction market tracked on Prediction Pantheon in the Climate category with $28K traded.
Expected settlement: 2026-11-11.
Buy prices at last build
- 35 - 59: Polymarket 88¢
Prices are buy prices on each platform when this page was built; open the page in a browser for live prices.
Settlement rules
Polymarket: This market will resolve according to the number of tornadoes recorded in the United States during the specified month, based on the monthly count published on the National Centers for Environmental Information U.S. Tornadoes Time Series page (see: https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/access/monitoring/tornadoes/time-series). Only tornadoes appearing in the final NCEI dataset for that month will count. The brackets are mutually exclusive and collectively exhaustive: each range is inclusive of both of its stated endpoints, and the monthly tornado count falls within exactly one bracket. As of market creation, the relevant report is scheduled to be released on November 11, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET (Release sc…