Will there be an 8 magnitude earthquake in California before 2027?

Prediction market tracked on Prediction Pantheon in the Climate category with $514K traded.

Expected settlement: 2027-01-01.

Buy prices at last build

  • Kalshi 4¢

Prices are buy prices on each platform when this page was built; open the page in a browser for live prices.

Settlement rules

Kalshi: If there is at least an earthquake of 8 magnitude with an epicenter in California or its territorial waters before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Trade this market

All prediction markets · More science markets