Next Fable Model (5.2+) released on...?

Prediction market tracked on Prediction Pantheon in the Technology category with $274K traded.

Expected settlement: 2026-10-24.

Buy prices at last build

  • No release by October 31: Polymarket 75¢

Prices are buy prices on each platform when this page was built; open the page in a browser for live prices.

Settlement rules

Polymarket: This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Anthropic's next Fable model (5.2+) is made available to the general public. A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "Fable" and be designated as version 5.2 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 5.2 or higher named in the same manner as Claude Fable 5 or Claude Fable 5.1 would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as Claude Fable 6, while models whose name does not include "Fable" or which retain a version designation below 5.2, such as Claude Fable 5.1 or Claude Mythos 5.1, will not qualify. A…

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