OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?
Prediction market tracked on Prediction Pantheon in the Technology category with $869K traded.
Expected settlement: 2027-01-01.
Buy prices at last build
- Before 2027: Kalshi 4¢ · Polymarket 9¢
Confirmed cross-platform price gap: 5¢ (identical market on both platforms).
Prices are buy prices on each platform when this page was built; open the page in a browser for live prices.
Settlement rules
Polymarket: This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI or an official representative of the company announces that it has created an artificial general intelligence (AGI) by December 31, 2026 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI and/or its official representative, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Kalshi: If OpenAI announces that they have attained AGI by Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.