Rocket Lab’s Neutron Rocket Launch by December 31?
Prediction market tracked on Prediction Pantheon in the Technology category with $27K traded.
Expected settlement: 2027-01-01.
Buy prices at last build
- Before 2027: Polymarket 8¢ · Kalshi 4¢
Confirmed cross-platform price gap: 4¢ (identical market on both platforms).
Prices are buy prices on each platform when this page was built; open the page in a browser for live prices.
Settlement rules
Polymarket: If Rocket Lab’s Neutron rocket successfully launches from its launch pad by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by Rocket Lab (https://www.youtube.com/@RocketLabCorp), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary. Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., explosion or failed ascent) after the initial liftoff will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change or rebranding of the Neutron vehicle will have no bearing on the market’s resolution.
Kalshi: If Rocket Lab Corporation launches Neutron After issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.