Best AI model on October 26?
Prediction market tracked on Prediction Pantheon in the Technology category with $46K traded.
Expected settlement: 2026-10-27.
Buy prices at last build
- gemini-4-argon-high: Polymarket 95¢ · Kalshi 87¢
Confirmed cross-platform price gap: 8¢ (identical market on both platforms).
Prices are buy prices on each platform when this page was built; open the page in a browser for live prices.
Settlement rules
Polymarket: This market will resolve according to the model that has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on the specified date, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market. Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score. No new model will be added to this market after market creation. Any model not explicitly listed in th…
Kalshi: If gemini-4-argon-high is the top-ranked AI model on Oct 31, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.