How many different countries will the US conduct military action against in 2026?
Prediction market tracked on Prediction Pantheon in the Politics category with $955K traded.
Expected settlement: 2027-01-01.
Buy prices at last build
- 8: Polymarket 67¢
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Settlement rules
Polymarket: This market will resolve according to the total number of different countries' soil that the United States initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on between January 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Strikes on embassies or consulates will count towards the country the embassy or consulate is located in, not towards the country they represent. Strikes within the territory controlled by the United States as of December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET will not be counted towards this market's resolution. For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US milita…