Politics prediction markets

Live politics prediction markets

The top 20 markets in the Prediction Pantheon feed when this page was last built, in the same order as the live feed. Prices are buy prices on each platform; price gaps are shown only for confirmed identical markets. Open any market for current prices.

Prediction Pantheon tracks 4,000+ prediction markets across Polymarket and Kalshi. Browse by topic: Politics, Crypto, Sports, Economics, Technology, Science, Culture. Each market below links to its own page.

  1. NC-09 House Election Winner — Richard Hudson (R): Polymarket 74¢ — $65K traded
  2. Next French Presidential Election — Marine Le Pen: Polymarket 46¢ · Kalshi 53¢ — 7¢ cross-platform price gap — $155.6M traded
  3. Elon Musk # tweets October 16 - October 23, 2026? — 280-299: Polymarket 59¢ — $2.9M traded
  4. Democratic nomination odds leader on October 31? — Jon Ossoff: Polymarket 45¢ — $114K traded
  5. Will Trump declare an election emergency? — Before Jan 1, 2027: Kalshi 32¢ — $297K traded
  6. Trump's approval rating on Oct 23, 2026? — 38.4 to 38.6: Kalshi 57¢ — $160K traded
  7. Will NATO x Russia military clash by October 31? — December 31: Polymarket 35¢ — $5.9M traded
  8. Argentina Presidential Election Winner — Javier Milei: Polymarket 47¢ · Kalshi 52¢ — 5¢ cross-platform price gap — $1.1M traded
  9. How many times will Trump visit Mar-a-Lago in Oct 2026? — 3: Kalshi 83¢ — $108K traded
  10. Number of North Korea Missile Tests in October 2026? — 3: Polymarket 69¢ — $30K traded
  11. How many presidential actions will Trump take this week? (10/18-10/24) — Kalshi 26¢ — $152K traded
  12. North Carolina State Senate winner? — Republican party: Kalshi 44¢ — $9K traded
  13. Paxton flips Talarico for Texas Senate by November 2? — Polymarket 6¢ — $11K traded
  14. How many Executive Orders will Trump sign this week? (10/18 - 10/24) — Kalshi 7¢ — $119K traded
  15. Next Mayor of Johannesburg? — Loyiso Masuku: Polymarket 5¢ · Kalshi 11¢ — 6¢ cross-platform price gap — $128K traded
  16. Avg. # of ships transiting Bab el-Mandeb Strait end of October? — 25-29: Polymarket 72¢ — $73K traded
  17. Serbia Parliamentary Election Winner — Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia: Polymarket 70¢ — $3.1M traded
  18. Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? — Polymarket 21¢ — $676K traded
  19. Which sectors will Trump tariff in 2026? — Critical minerals: Kalshi 44¢ — $31K traded
  20. Michigan Senate Election Winner — Abdul El-Sayed (D): Polymarket 72¢ — $2.2M traded

Political market comparison

Compare prices and liquidity for election, government, policy, and geopolitical prediction markets across supported platforms.