Next French Presidential Election
Prediction market tracked on Prediction Pantheon in the Elections category with $155.6M traded.
Expected settlement: 2027-04-19.
Buy prices at last build
- Marine Le Pen: Polymarket 46¢ · Kalshi 53¢
Confirmed cross-platform price gap: 7¢ (identical market on both platforms).
Prices are buy prices on each platform when this page was built; open the page in a browser for live prices.
Settlement rules
Polymarket: The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, thi…
Kalshi: If David Lisnard wins the next French presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes.