Will Insurrection Act invoked by December 31?
Prediction market tracked on Prediction Pantheon in the Politics category with $177K traded.
Expected settlement: 2027-01-01.
Buy prices at last build
- Polymarket 18¢
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Settlement rules
Polymarket: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump officially invokes the Insurrection Act of 1807 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, "invoke" means that the President formally announces the use of the Insurrection Act as legal authority for deploying active-duty U.S. military forces or federalizing the National Guard in response to civil disorder, insurrection, or rebellion. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.