Next Senate Majority Leader?
Prediction market tracked on Prediction Pantheon in the Elections category with $119K traded.
Expected settlement: 2026-11-04.
Buy prices at last build
- John Thune: Polymarket 23¢ · Kalshi 26¢
Confirmed cross-platform price gap: 3¢ (identical market on both platforms).
Prices are buy prices on each platform when this page was built; open the page in a browser for live prices.
Settlement rules
Polymarket: This market will resolve according to the individual who is announced as the next Senate Majority Leader after the November 3, 2026, U.S. General Election. This market will remain open until January 3, 2027, at which point it will resolve based on the first announcement of the next Senate Majority Leader from whichever party holds the majority in the U.S. Senate. If no Majority is established and a leader is not announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
Kalshi: If John Thune wins the U.S. Senate Majority Leader election for the 120th Congress, then the market resolves to Yes.