Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
Prediction market tracked on Prediction Pantheon in the Politics category with $3.6M traded.
Expected settlement: 2027-01-01.
Buy prices at last build
- Polymarket 5¢
Prices are buy prices on each platform when this page was built; open the page in a browser for live prices.
Settlement rules
Polymarket: This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Cuban land territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Cuba or the United States as market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.