Will US announce end of Iranian blockade by October 31?
Prediction market tracked on Prediction Pantheon in the Politics category with $21.8M traded.
Expected settlement: 2026-11-01.
Buy prices at last build
- March 31: Polymarket 59¢
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Settlement rules
Polymarket: On July 13, 2026, Trump announced the United States would reinstate its naval blockade of Iran, targeting Iranian ships and customers. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States government, or an authorized representative of the United States government, publicly and officially announces the end, termination, lifting, or suspension of the United States’ naval blockade on Iranian ships and ships of Iranian customers, between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement qualifies if it communicates that the United States will generally cease blocking vessel traffic for Iranian ships and customers, including an an…