Will Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by October 31?
Prediction market tracked on Prediction Pantheon in the Politics category with $2.2M traded.
Expected settlement: 2026-10-31.
Buy prices at last build
- December 31: Polymarket 32¢
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Settlement rules
Polymarket: This market will resolve to “Yes” if a diplomatic agreement between Oman and Iran over traffic in the strait of Hormuz is announced by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. A diplomatic agreement refers to an official agreement, treaty, deal, or substantially similar diplomatic instrument that establishes agreed actions, policies, obligations, or commitments between Oman and Iran. A qualifying diplomatic agreement must establish Iranian or Omani policies, obligations, or commitments aimed at managing, permitting, restoring, or increasing vessel or shipping traffic through the Strait of Hormuz, including agreements defining vessel traffic corridors, fee collection policies, or other management po…