Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (10/19 - 10/25)
Prediction market tracked on Prediction Pantheon in the Politics category with $198K traded.
Expected settlement: 2026-10-27.
Buy prices at last build
- Above 160: Kalshi 99¢
Prices are buy prices on each platform when this page was built; open the page in a browser for live prices.
Settlement rules
Kalshi: If the number of transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 210 from Oct 19, 2026 to Oct 25, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.