Will Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by October 31?

Prediction market tracked on Prediction Pantheon in the Politics category with $399K traded.

Expected settlement: 2026-11-01.

Buy prices at last build

  • December 31: Polymarket 31¢

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Settlement rules

Polymarket: This market will resolve to “Yes” if a ceasefire agreement between Saudi Arabia and the Houthis is announced by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A ceasefire agreement refers to any mutually-agreed suspension of direct military engagement between Saudi Arabia and the Houthis. A broader peace deal, normalization agreement, political framework, truce, or humanitarian pause will qualify if it includes a mutually agreed suspension of direct military engagement, to be effective on a specified date. Agreements that outline future negotiations or de-escalation measures without an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not qualify. Any form of i…

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