France accuses foreign country of provoking unrest by November 30?

Prediction market tracked on Prediction Pantheon in the Politics category with $16K traded.

Expected settlement: 2026-12-01.

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  • Polymarket 19¢

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Settlement rules

Polymarket: This market will resolve to "Yes" if the French government explicitly claims that the authorities of a foreign country deliberately caused or facilitated the unrest that began in France on October 17, 2026, by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Such a claim requires an on-the-record public statement issued by an authorized person or entity representing the French government, speaking in an official capacity, which expressly states that the authorities of a foreign country deliberately caused or facilitated the unrest. A statement from a lawmaker speaking in their own capacity or on behalf of a party not in government will not alone qualify. Ambiguou…

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