Will China x India military clash by December 31, 2026?
Prediction market tracked on Prediction Pantheon in the Politics category with $222K traded.
Expected settlement: 2027-01-01.
Buy prices at last build
- Polymarket 7¢
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Settlement rules
Polymarket: This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a military encounter between the military forces of China (People's Republic of China) and India between January 29, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A "military encounter" is defined as any incident involving the use of force such as missile strikes, artillery fire, exchange of gunfire, or other forms of direct military engagement between Chinese and Indian military forces. Hand-to-hand combat with the use of melee weapons between military personnel, will qualify. For example the 2020 Galwan Valley clash and the 2022 Yangtse clash would both count. Non-violent actions, such as warning shots…