US x Cuba military clash in 2026?
Prediction market tracked on Prediction Pantheon in the Politics category with $283K traded.
Expected settlement: 2027-01-01.
Buy prices at last build
- Polymarket 13¢
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Settlement rules
Polymarket: This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a military encounter between the military forces of the United States and Cuba between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A "military encounter" is defined as any incident involving the use of force such as missile strikes, artillery fire, exchange of gunfire, or other forms of direct military engagement between US and Cuban military forces. Non-violent actions, such as warning shots, artillery fire into uninhabited areas, or missile launches that land in territorial waters or pass through airspace, will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution. Intentional ship ramming that results in sign…