NATO article 5 before 2027?
Prediction market tracked on Prediction Pantheon in the Politics category with $301K traded.
Expected settlement: 2027-01-01.
Buy prices at last build
- Polymarket 6¢
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Settlement rules
Polymarket: If any NATO member country invokes Article 5 of the North Atlantic Treaty at any time between November 5, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from NATO (nato.int), however a consensus of credible media will also suffice.