Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/19 - 10/25)
Prediction market tracked on Prediction Pantheon in the Politics category with $326K traded.
Expected settlement: 2026-10-27.
Buy prices at last build
- Above 15: Kalshi 99¢
Prices are buy prices on each platform when this page was built; open the page in a browser for live prices.
Settlement rules
Kalshi: If the number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 27 from Oct 19, 2026 to Oct 25, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.