Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Prediction market tracked on Prediction Pantheon in the Politics category with $75.1M traded.
Expected settlement: 2027-01-01.
Buy prices at last build
- Polymarket 17¢
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Settlement rules
Polymarket: This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Iran or the United States as of November 4, 2025 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.