Will US announce Diesel Export ban by October 31?
Prediction market tracked on Prediction Pantheon in the Politics category with $402K traded.
Expected settlement: 2026-11-01.
Buy prices at last build
- December 31: Polymarket 12¢
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Settlement rules
Polymarket: This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of the United States, the White House, a Cabinet member, an agency or department legally authorized to take such action, or an authorized representative thereof, publicly and officially announces a ban on the export of diesel from the United States between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For purposes of this market, a "ban on the export of diesel" means a prohibition on the exportation of diesel fuel (distillate fuel oil) from the United States, whether imposed on all exports or on substantially all exports. A restriction, quota, tariff, licensing requirement, destination-spe…