Will US reissues Iran oil sales sanction relief by October 31?
Prediction market tracked on Prediction Pantheon in the Politics category with $72K traded.
Expected settlement: 2026-11-01.
Buy prices at last build
- Polymarket 11¢
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Settlement rules
Polymarket: On July 7, 2026, the United States revoked a sanctions waiver, “General License X,” which allowed for the sale of Iranian oil (see: https://thehill.com/policy/energy-environment/5957647-iran-oil-sanctions-waiver-strait-of-hormuz/). This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States federal government issues a waiver, license, or equivalent sanctions-relief mechanism lifting US sanctions on the sale of Iranian oil, petrochemical products, or petroleum products by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. Actions which direct partial or full sanction relief will both qualify. However, qualifying actions must reverse, remove, waive, or suspend US penaltie…