Will Iran target the United Arab Emirates by October 31?
Prediction market tracked on Prediction Pantheon in the Politics category with $26K traded.
Expected settlement: 2026-10-31.
Buy prices at last build
- Polymarket 5¢
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Settlement rules
Polymarket: This market will resolve to “Yes” if Iran targets the United Arab Emirates through a qualifying military action between market creation and the listed date, Gulf Standard Time (GST). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” A qualifying military action refers to an air strike or a surface-to-surface missile strike, initiated by Iran, directed at the United Arab Emirates. An air strike includes bombs, air-to-surface missiles, and air-launched drones. A surface-to-surface missile strike includes one-way attack drones and surface-to-surface missiles such as cruise or ballistic missiles. The following actions do not constitute a qualifying military action: Surface-to-air missile strikes; Sm…