Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?
Prediction market tracked on Prediction Pantheon in the Politics category with $11.8M traded.
Expected settlement: 2027-01-01.
Buy prices at last build
- Polymarket 3¢
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Settlement rules
Polymarket: This market will resolve to “Yes” if Reza Pahlavi de facto holds and exercises the powers of the head of state of Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” Reza Pahlavi will be considered to hold power if he exercises primary governing authority over the Iranian state during the specified timeframe, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition. Formal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required. Indicators of de facto authority may include cont…