Republicans win the Senate pending oil above or below $80?
Prediction market tracked on Prediction Pantheon in the Elections category with $44K traded.
Expected settlement: 2026-11-04.
Buy prices at last build
- Oil ≥ $80; R Senate: Polymarket 34¢
Prices are buy prices on each platform when this page was built; open the page in a browser for live prices.
Settlement rules
Polymarket: This market will resolve to "Yes" if oil is less than $80 at the close of trading on November 2, 2026, and the Republican Party wins control of the United States Senate in the 2026 United States midterm election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Oil price: This market will resolve based on the Close price for the Active Month of ICE Futures Europe WTI Crude Futures (denoted by Pyth as "CLL") for the November 2, 2026 trading day. For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, w…