Will the AfD be part of a German state government in 2026?
Prediction market tracked on Prediction Pantheon in the Elections category with $56K traded.
Expected settlement: 2027-01-01.
Buy prices at last build
- Polymarket 42¢
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Settlement rules
Polymarket: This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Alternative für Deutschland (AfD) is part of the state government (Landesregierung) of any of Germany's 16 federal states at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A party is considered part of a state government if it provides at least one Minister in that state's government, including the Minister-President. In the city-states of Berlin, Hamburg and Bremen, a party is considered part of the state government if it provides at least one Senator, including the Governing Mayor, First Mayor or President of the Senate. A state government is considered formed when the state parlia…