Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Margin of Victory
Prediction market tracked on Prediction Pantheon in the Elections category with $4.8M traded.
Expected settlement: 2026-10-26.
Buy prices at last build
- Flávio Bolsonaro <4%: Polymarket 42¢
Prices are buy prices on each platform when this page was built; open the page in a browser for live prices.
Settlement rules
Polymarket: The second round of the presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 25, 2026. This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the second round of the next Brazil Presidential Election. For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election. If the reported value falls exactly between…