Nigel Farage announces departure as Reform UK leader?
Prediction market tracked on Prediction Pantheon in the Politics category with $298K traded.
Expected settlement: 2027-01-01.
Buy prices at last build
- December 31, 2026: Polymarket 9¢ · Kalshi 14¢
Confirmed cross-platform price gap: 5¢ (identical market on both platforms).
Prices are buy prices on each platform when this page was built; open the page in a browser for live prices.
Settlement rules
Kalshi: If Nigel Farage leaves as Leader of Reform UK before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Polymarket: This market will resolve to “Yes” if Nigel Farage ceases to be the Leader of Reform UK for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Nigel Farage’s resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be information from Reform UK, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.