Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?

Prediction market tracked on Prediction Pantheon in the Politics category with $450K traded.

Expected settlement: 2027-01-01.

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  • Polymarket 3¢

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Settlement rules

Polymarket: This market will resolve to "Yes" if North Korea commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of the South Korea by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be will be official confirmation by South Korea, North Korea, the United Nations, or any permanent member of the UN Security Council, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

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