Will Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31?

Prediction market tracked on Prediction Pantheon in the Politics category with $2.6M traded.

Expected settlement: 2027-01-01.

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  • Polymarket 6¢

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Settlement rules

Polymarket: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to surrender its enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An official pledge by Iran to surrender its enriched uranium stockpile will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel. An agreement by Iran to surrender any amount of its enriched uranium stockpile will count. To qualify, Iran must publicly agree that its enriched uranium stockpile, or any portion thereof, will be transferred, shipped, or placed under the custody or control of any entity outside of Iran and its influence, excluding non-sta…

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