Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on...?

Prediction market tracked on Prediction Pantheon in the Politics category with $973K traded.

Expected settlement: 2026-10-24.

Buy prices at last build

  • October 23: Polymarket 72¢

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Settlement rules

Polymarket: This market will resolve to “Yes” if Saudi Arabia takes a qualifying military action against Yemen on the specified date, Yemen Standard Time. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No.” A qualifying military action refers to an air strike or a surface-to-surface missile strike, initiated by Saudi Arabia, that directly impacts Yemen. An air strike includes bombs, air-to-surface missiles, and air-launched drones. A surface-to-surface missile strike includes one-way attack drones and surface-to-surface missiles such as cruise or ballistic missiles. The qualifying military action must be carried out by the armed forces of Saudi Arabia. Actions carried out by private military contractors, merce…

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