Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?

Prediction market tracked on Prediction Pantheon in the Politics category with $1.3M traded.

Expected settlement: 2027-01-01.

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  • Polymarket 2¢

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Settlement rules

Polymarket: If Ukraine has officially joined NATO as a full member state at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The primary settlement source for this market will be the official NATO website (https://www.nato.int/cps/en/natohq/nato_countries.htm), however other credible sources may be used.

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