Will India strike on Pakistan by December 31, 2026?
Prediction market tracked on Prediction Pantheon in the Politics category with $346K traded.
Expected settlement: 2027-01-01.
Buy prices at last build
- Polymarket 12¢
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Settlement rules
Polymarket: This market will resolve to "Yes" if India initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Pakistani territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Indian military forces that impact Pakistani territory (e.g., if an Indian missile or drone hits a target within Pakistan’s borders, this market will resolve to "Yes"). Missiles or drones that are intercepted before reaching Pakistani territory, as well as surface-to-air missile strikes, will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardles…