Will the US capture another world leader in 2026?
Prediction market tracked on Prediction Pantheon in the Politics category with $89K traded.
Expected settlement: 2027-01-01.
Buy prices at last build
- Polymarket 4¢
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Settlement rules
Polymarket: This market will resolve to "Yes" if U.S. government personnel (including U.S. military, CIA, or any U.S. federal law enforcement agency) directly participate on the ground in an operation that results in the capture of a qualifying head of state by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only individuals who are the active head of state of a UN member state at the time of capture will qualify. Acting/interim heads of state will qualify if they are widely recognized as holding the head-of-state office at that time. For the purposes of this market, “capture” means the head of state is taken into physical custody and detained (including arrest, detention…