Cuban regime falls in 2026?

Prediction market tracked on Prediction Pantheon in the Politics category with $1.8M traded.

Expected settlement: 2027-01-01.

Buy prices at last build

  • Polymarket 9¢

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Settlement rules

Polymarket: This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Communist Party of Cuba (PCC) ceases to exercise de facto governing control over Cuba by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A “Yes” resolution requires a clear and widely reported break from the PCC’s historical control over the government of Cuba. This may include events such as the overthrow or dissolution of the PCC and its replacement by a new government or transitional authority, the constitutional removal of the PCC’s status as the sole ruling party followed by a transfer of governing power to a different political entity, or the holding of multi-party national elections that result in a government not…

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