Alaska Senate Election Winner
Prediction market tracked on Prediction Pantheon in the Elections category with $1.6M traded.
Expected settlement: 2026-11-04.
Buy prices at last build
- Mary Peltola: Polymarket 74¢ · Kalshi 75¢
Confirmed cross-platform price gap: 1¢ (identical market on both platforms).
Prices are buy prices on each platform when this page was built; open the page in a browser for live prices.
Settlement rules
Polymarket: This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Alaska U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
Kalshi: If Mary Peltola wins the 2026 Alaska Senate election, then the market resolves to Yes.