Will Iran invades Kuwait by October 31?
Prediction market tracked on Prediction Pantheon in the Politics category with $15K traded.
Expected settlement: 2026-11-01.
Buy prices at last build
- December 31: Polymarket 10¢
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Settlement rules
Polymarket: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iranian military forces enter Kuwait by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET in a military operation that establishes control over any portion of Kuwait territory. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any Iranian military operation which remains on the ground inside the territory of Kuwait for less than 48 hours will not qualify. Mere presence of Iranian military forces within Kuwait will not alone qualify, even if for longer than 48 hours. A consensus of credible reporting must demonstrate that such presence is or was part of a military operation which established control over a portion of Kuwait. Only the entry of Iranian military forces into the terri…