Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by October 31?
Prediction market tracked on Prediction Pantheon in the Politics category with $555K traded.
Expected settlement: 2026-11-01.
Buy prices at last build
- December 31: Polymarket 11¢
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Settlement rules
Polymarket: This market will resolve to "Yes" if, by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, Russia formally announces either: (i) a new compulsory military mobilization under the existing September 2022 mobilization framework, or an expansion of the categories of citizen to which that framework applies; or (ii) the establishment or authorization of a new compulsory military mobilization outside the September 2022 mobilization framework. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." A qualifying announcement must communicate such a mobilization as a new policy of the Russian State. A formal legal act (e.g., an executive decree) that establishes or authorizes a qualifying mobilization, or expands the categories…