Israeli Legislative Election Winner
Prediction market tracked on Prediction Pantheon in the Elections category with $1.7M traded.
Expected settlement: 2026-10-28.
Buy prices at last build
- Yashar: Kalshi 73¢ · Polymarket 70¢
Confirmed cross-platform price gap: 3¢ (identical market on both platforms).
Prices are buy prices on each platform when this page was built; open the page in a browser for live prices.
Settlement rules
Kalshi: If the winner of the next Israeli legislative election is Likud, then the market resolves to Yes.
Polymarket: Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election. If the results of this election are not definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties or coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose candidate list received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name appears first in alphab…