Israel military action against Lebanon on...?
Prediction market tracked on Prediction Pantheon in the Politics category with $130K traded.
Expected settlement: 2026-10-28.
Buy prices at last build
- October 27: Polymarket 99¢
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Settlement rules
Polymarket: This market will resolve to “Yes” if Israel takes a qualifying military action against Lebanon on the specified date Jerusalem time. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No.” A qualifying military action refers to an air strike or a surface-to-surface missile strike, initiated by Israel, that directly impacts Lebanon. An air strike includes bombs, air-to-surface missiles, and air-launched drones. A surface-to-surface missile strike includes one-way attack drones and surface-to-surface missiles such as cruise or ballistic missiles. The following actions do not constitute a qualifying military action: Munitions destroyed or intercepted before impact; Surface-to-air missile strikes; Small-ar…