Will France declares state of emergency by October 31?
Prediction market tracked on Prediction Pantheon in the Politics category with $277K traded.
Expected settlement: 2026-11-01.
Buy prices at last build
- December 31: Polymarket 19¢
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Settlement rules
Polymarket: This market will resolve to "Yes" if a legally binding decree declaring a state of emergency (état d'urgence) in France enters into effect at any point between this market's creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". To count toward resolution, the corresponding decree must explicitly constitute a "state of emergency" (état d'urgence) as defined by Law No. 55-385 of April 3, 1955 (Loi n° 55-385 du 3 avril 1955 relative à l'état d'urgence). Only declarations explicitly constituting a state of emergency under Law No. 55-385 will count. A declaration covering any part of the territory of the French Republic, including overseas departments, region…