US-Yemen ceasefire continues through...?

Prediction market tracked on Prediction Pantheon in the Politics category with $2.2M traded.

Expected settlement: 2026-10-31.

Buy prices at last build

  • October 31: Polymarket 94¢

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Settlement rules

Polymarket: This market will resolve to “No” if the United States takes a qualifying military action against Yemen by the specified date, 11:59 PM Yemen Standard Time. Otherwise this market will resolve to “Yes.” A qualifying military action refers to an air strike or a surface-to-surface missile strike, initiated by the United States, that directly impacts Yemen. An air strike includes bombs, air-to-surface missiles, and air-launched drones. A surface-to-surface missile strike includes one-way attack drones and surface-to-surface missiles such as cruise or ballistic missiles. The qualifying military action must be carried out by the armed forces of the United States. Actions carried out by private mil…

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