Will US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31?
Prediction market tracked on Prediction Pantheon in the Politics category with $6.9M traded.
Expected settlement: 2026-11-01.
Buy prices at last build
- December 31: Polymarket 14¢
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Settlement rules
Polymarket: On June 14, 2026, the United States and Iran announced a written diplomatic agreement, including a 60-day extendable period in which both countries committed to negotiate toward a “final deal” regarding Iran’s nuclear program and other topics. This market resolves to “Yes” if a qualifying written diplomatic instrument between the United States and Iran has been mutually signed or adopted by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market resolves to “No.” Unless the written instrument is formally adopted without signature as described below, the instrument must be signed by both the United States and Iran. Both parties must either sign the same document or sign individual documents…